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There’s been a clear shift in the betting market, and I’m backing the Rockets to respond with urgency in what feels like a must-win situation. This line opened at Houston -1.5 but quickly jumped to -3.5 as sharp money piled in on the home team. That kind of movement signals confidence from those with skin in the game. Houston didn’t grab the No. 2 seed by accident — they earned it through consistent play and elite execution during the regular season. It’s far too soon to discount that body of work just because they’re now facing a veteran duo with playoff pedigree.

Expect the Rockets to lean into their physicality and size advantage. Steven Adams provided strong rebounding off the bench, while Alperen Sengun should continue to be a force in the paint, especially when matched against undersized defenders. Houston's 3-point struggles (just 6-for-29 last time out) likely won’t continue. Look for a bounce-back from Jalen Green as well — he knows what’s at stake and should rise to the moment. Rockets cover and tie up the series before hitting the road. Take Houston ATS


NBA Basketball Picks
Wednesday, April 23rd 2025 9:35 PM
Finished

NBA Basketball Cappers Picks for Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:


Your Daily Capper 54 % Parlay Winners 63 % Sean Perry Wins 100 % Steve Merril 55 % NJ Betting Guru 100 % Wunderdog 100 % Ian Cameron 100 % Sports Picks Forum 56 % Paul Biagioli 67 % Tim Donaghy 67 % Brad Francis 64 % Randy Chambers 60 % Corey Scott 60 % Corey Scott 60 %

Spread
Money
Total
4.0 -110
155
O204.5 -110
-4.0 -110
-180
U204.5 -110


SPREAD
Golden State Warriors 4.0 (-110)
AVG SPREAD W%: 49 ROI: -7
Josh Schonwald W%: 49 ROI: -5 Trent Pruitt W%: 49 ROI: -6 Randy Chambers W%: 48 ROI: -7 David Picks and parlays W%: 49 ROI: -6 Brad Francis W%: 51 ROI: -7 Bruce Marshall W%: 48 ROI: -6 Parlay Winners W%: 53 ROI: -4 Brad Botkin W%: 44 ROI: -16

SPREAD
Houston Rockets -4.0 (-110)
AVG SPREAD W%: 51 ROI: -4
Paul Biagioli W%: 50 ROI: -3 Peter Tran W%: 49 ROI: -6 Filip Tomic W%: 45 ROI: -13 Liev Jackson W%: 46 ROI: -10 Steve Merril W%: 50 ROI: -5 Stephen Nover W%: 50 ROI: -6 NJ Betting Guru W%: 63 ROI: 9 Big Al W%: 52 ROI: -3 Ronald Cabang W%: 54 ROI: 3 Sports Picks Forum W%: 49 ROI: -6 Bobby Conn W%: 52 ROI: 0 HEdge Admin W%: 62 ROI: 17 AAA Sports W%: 53 ROI: -6 The Lock Club W%: 49 ROI: -7 Wayne Root W%: 45 ROI: -15 Your Daily Capper W%: 56 ROI: -2 Brandon Lang W%: 45 ROI: -14 Arun Shiva W%: 50 ROI: -4 Dwayne Bryant W%: 51 ROI: -4 Sean Perry Wins W%: 48 ROI: -10 ASA wins W%: 48 ROI: -11 Wunderdog W%: 55 ROI: -1 Donnie Rightside W%: 49 ROI: -8



MONEY
Golden State Warriors 155

MONEY
Houston Rockets -180
AVG MONEY W%: 51 ROI: -4
Steve Fezzik W%: 54 ROI: -1 The Gold Sheet W%: 49 ROI: -6 Tim Doyle W%: 51 ROI: -6 Corey Scott W%: 52 ROI: -0 Hakeem Profit W%: 49 ROI: -9 Ian Cameron W%: 53 ROI: 1

TOTAL
UNDER 204.5 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 49 ROI: -8
Trent Pruitt W%: 49 ROI: -6 Teddy Covers W%: 48 ROI: -8 Oskeim Sports W%: 50 ROI: -12 Bruce Marshall W%: 48 ROI: -6

TOTAL
OVER 204.5 (-110)
AVG OVER W%: 52 ROI: 0
Kosty Insider Plays W%: 53 ROI: 3 Tim Donaghy W%: 51 ROI: -2 Corey Scott W%: 52 ROI: -0